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<article language="en">
	<journal>
		<journal_title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal_title>
		<journal_url>www.atmos-chem-phys.net</journal_url>
		<issn>1680-7316</issn>
		<eissn>1680-7324</eissn>
		<volume_number>8</volume_number>
		<issue_number>4</issue_number>
		<publication_year>2008</publication_year>
	</journal>
	<doi>10.5194/acp-8-787-2008</doi>
	<article_url>http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/8/787/2008/</article_url>
	<abstract_html>http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/8/787/2008/acp-8-787-2008.html</abstract_html>
	<fulltext_pdf>http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/8/787/2008/acp-8-787-2008.pdf</fulltext_pdf>
	<start_page>787</start_page>
	<end_page>798</end_page>
	<publication_date>2008-02-18</publication_date>
	<article_title content_type="html">Development and evaluation of an operational SDS forecasting system for East Asia: CUACE/Dust</article_title>
	<authors>
		<author numeration="1" affiliations="1">
			<name>C. H. Zhou</name>
			<email>zhouch@cma.gov.cn</email>
		</author>
		<author numeration="2" affiliations="1,2">
			<name>S. L. Gong</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="3" affiliations="1">
			<name>X. Y. Zhang</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="4" affiliations="1">
			<name>Y. Q. Wang</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="5" affiliations="1">
			<name>T. Niu</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="6" affiliations="1">
			<name>H. L. Liu</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="7" affiliations="2">
			<name>T. L. Zhao</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="8" affiliations="1">
			<name>Y. Q. Yang</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="9" affiliations="1">
			<name>Q. Hou</name>
		</author>
	</authors>
	<affiliations>
		<affiliation numeration="1" content_type="html">Centre for Atmosphere Watch &amp; Services (CAWAS), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Meteorological Administration (CMA), Beijing 100081, China</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="2" content_type="html">Air Quality Research Division, Science &amp; Technology Branch, Environment Canada, 4905 Dufferin Street, Toronto, Ontario M3H 5T4, Canada</affiliation>
	</affiliations>
	<abstract content_type="html">CUACE/Dust, an operational mesoscale sand and dust storm (SDS) forecasting
system for East Asia, has been developed by online coupling a dust aerosol
emission scheme and dust aerosol microphysics onto a regional meteorological
model with improved advection and diffusion schemes and a detailed Northeast
Asia soil erosion database. With improved initial dust aerosol conditions
through a 3-DVar data assimilation system, CUACE/Dust successfully forecasted
most of the 31 SDS processes in East Asia. A detailed comparison of the
model predictions for the  8&amp;ndash;12 March  SDS process with surface network
observations and lidar measurements revealed a robust forecasting ability of
the system. The time series of the operationally forecasted dust
concentrations for a number of representative stations for the whole spring
2006 (1 March&amp;ndash;31 May) were evaluated against surface PM10 monitoring data,
showing a good agreement in terms of the SDS timing and magnitudes at and
near the source regions where dust aerosols dominate. For the operational
forecasts of spring 2006 in East Asia, a TS (threat score) system evaluated
the performance of CUACE/Dust against all available observations and
rendered a spring averaged TS value of 0.31 for FT1 (24 h forecasts), 0.23
for FT2 (48 h forecasts) and 0.21 for FT3 (72 h forecasts).</abstract>
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</article>

